Scenario Building


Utopias Sustain and Foster the Economic Behavior of Cultures

Behind any economic action there is a utopia that sustains it. This implies that the drivers of utopias are the materialistic needs of a culture or an individual.

Unicist Ontogenetic Map of UtopiasThis research triggered the extreme criticism from some segments of “intellectuals” or “spiritualists” who consider that the utopias come from the world of the ideas or from the spirit.

This research demonstrated that they are built as ideas but triggered by materialistic scarcities.

That is why those countries where economic freedom is fostered evolve faster because new utopias are permanently triggered by the participants of the economic activity.

The Unicist Ontological Structure of Utopias

Utopias can be seen from two different standpoints:

  1.  The dysfunctional
  2.  The functional

From the dysfunctional standpoint utopias are a sort of “fantasies”. From a functional standpoint they foster the evolution of cultures.

Utopias’ purpose is to upgrade cultures opening the possibilities of actions and providing a catharsis to sustain evolution.

A social utopia is functional to the next level of evolution. The upgrade of a culture happens because a utopia is installed to overcome the implicit weaknesses of a specific situation of a culture.

This opens new possibilities of action, establishing at the same time a cathartic context that allows failing before achieving the upgrade of the culture.

From an operational essential standpoint, utopias open possibilities, allowing cathartic “explosions”, introduce motivation for action and establish shared goals for the future.

This integration has functional and dysfunctional aspects. But illusory goals should be considered together with possible goals in their oneness.

From a strict standpoint, a maximal strategy that depends on the external environment of the society is somehow an illusory goal to be achieved.

In the field of utopias, illusions, actions, doing and communicating are nor separated concepts but one to achieve the final goal that is upgrading a society.

Operationally, four segments of utopias can be described:

Illusory utopias

Illusory utopias are those that basically provide catharsis to the members of a society. Involving cultures are driven by illusory utopias based on heroic projects that will “change the history” (typical title for illusory utopias).

Illusory utopias become functional when they are part of challenging and possible projects, providing the extreme possibilities to go beyond the boundaries of a situation.

Hypothetic utopias

They are the rational utopias that are built upon theoretical possibilities developing projects that should be achievable. Hypothetic utopias provide a framework of truths to sustain their ideas. They are necessary to widen the boundaries of the possibilities and sustain the need of freedom of dependant societies.

Hypothetic utopias allow people to think that they will be able to change a situation anytime based on their rationalized social intentions.

Possible utopias

Possible utopias are those that allow building synergy in societies. This synergy is based on a shared project that can be done with the integration of the members of a culture.

Possible utopias imply prices to be paid and the exclusion of the aliens. Aliens are those who do not share the vision of the possibility.

These utopias are basic for growth and provide the necessary cultural context to sustain the culture without changing it. Thus they are natural to evolving leading cultures.

Challenging utopias

Challenging utopias foster cultural change. They are based on action and on expanding the boundaries of a culture.

They necessarily include illusory and hypothetical aspects in order to expand the possibilities of what can be done. Challenging utopias are driven by the heroes of cultures.

Evolving cultures and emerging cultures are driven by these challenging utopias developed by heroes.

Those cultures that have not solved their identity in their environment cannot accept authoritative roles and cannot “use” heroes to evolve. They fear the power of heroes and therefore they naturally transform challenging utopias into illusory utopias.

Peter Belohlavek

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in complexity science research and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. http://www.unicist.org


Conceptual Economy is a Macro-Micro Approach

This is a synthesis of the works on conceptual economy developed by Peter Belohlavek to provide a guiding idea of how to deal with real economy considered as a complex adaptive system. It is part of the conceptual model for country scenario building and forecasting.

Conceptual EconomyThe development of the conceptual approach to country scenarios, which included conceptual economy, started in the ’70s and its core aspects were finished in the ’90s.

It was triggered by the need to find a structural solution to the multiple failures in applying economic solutions to different countries. The objective was to find the concepts that allow adapting the systemic economy to the true drivers of economics considered as a complex system managing its unified field.

A) What changed?

  1. The expansion of countries is not based on military occupation anymore. The military became a dissuasion power.
  2. Democracy became the next utopia in the world, which established the basis for the era of participation.
  3. The existence of several expansive poles and the creation of the European Union.
  4. The transformation of economy into the driver for local and international expansion.
  5. The role of banks in the administration of monetary circulation.
  6. The influence of International Institutions to prevent or palliate local economic/financial crises.

B) What remained unchanged?

  1. The fact that the USA is the leading economy in the world.

C) What made conceptual economy possible?

  1. The discovery of the logic that underlies nature.
  2. The discovery that individuals’ actions are driven by the concepts they have which are cross-cultural and timeless.
  3. The unicist anthropological modeling of collective unconsciousness and the consequent country (cultural) archetypes.
  4. The discovery that the archetype of a culture and the concept of work it has, establish the context of the unified field in which economic behavior becomes possible.
  5. The discovery of ethical intelligence as the deepest driver of individual and social behavior and its consequences in economics.
  6. The discovery of thee concepts and fundamentals that drive economic behavior.
  7. The discovery that the concepts of macro and micro economic behavior are homologous.
  8. The discovery of the unified field of economics.
  9. The development of a logical solution that allowed transforming a conceptual approach to the complexity of economics into a systemic approach to deal with variables and cause-effect relationships.
  10. The discovery that extreme consumerism, extreme communism and authoritarianism foster over-adaptive behaviors and survival ethics and stagnant survival ethics.

To request more information please contact n.i.brown@unicist.org

Unicist Press Committee

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in using the unicist logical approach in complexity science research and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. It has an academic arm and a business arm. https://www.unicist.net/economics/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/turi.pdf


Democracy and Bottom-up and Top-down economic systems

Democracy is a bottom-up economic system but it has to be understood that ideologies and political power has to sustain social evolution and not the economic agents. This implies building a subtle equilibrium where economic agents drive evolution while political power ensures the present and future generations.

“Only by understanding the nature of a culture it is possible to design an adequate economic model that is adapted to such culture. An economic system can only work integrated within the values of a culture.

If it is not it will necessarily degrade towards dysfunctional trade-offs before it explodes or implodes.

In the world there are different levels of democracy. In the following pages you will find a description of the fundamental segments of democracy to be considered as an input and as a limit to define economic solutions in the public or private sector.

Democracy and economic models

To approach the problem, the first issue to be defined is the meaning of the word democracy.

Democracy can be described as the authoritative leadership of a group or community achieving consensus and efficiency, and making the necessary trade-offs in a context of evolution conflicts.

The concept of democracy can also be described from a participant’s point of view. In this case, the purpose to be achieved is efficiency, and consensus is a procedure to be used to make things possible.”

Access the content of the book “Fundamental Analysis: Growth Crisis 2008-2010” at the Unicist Library: http://www.unicist.com/books-pages/en/unicist_countercycle9.php

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in complexity science research and became a global decentralized world-class research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. https://www.unicist.net/economics/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/turi.pdf


Unicist Strategy: The Archetype of the USA

The Archetype of the USA is a paradigmatic example of how a culture can be leading in the world while strengthening its identity.

For this case, it is strongly recommended listening to the lecture you can find at:
http://www.unicistinstitute.net/blog/unicist-future-research-the-archetype-of-the-usa/

Based on the research on the Archetype of the USA, its purpose is growth and its active function is given by the propensity to dare while achieving its “dream” within a credibility context.

The Maximal strategy implies that the culture is driven by daring actions to achieve its cultural “dream” within an institutionalized context.

The catalyst of the evolution of the American archetype is its institutionalization that accelerates its evolution. Institutionalization is materialized in the democratic rules of the society.

The icon of the cultural dream is the American Flag. Daring implies doing in terms of concrete operational actions to achieve growth and surpass the well-being achieved by the preceding generations.

The social pressure towards growth within a context of being a leading culture in the world generates uncertainty in the coming generations that fosters the need for addictions to avoid the responsibility to produce growth.

The minimum strategy of the archetype fosters thinking, driven by the personal objectives and within the limits of the personal credibility. That is why the USA archetype includes a multi-minority approach.

This minimum strategy provides the necessary context to develop hard technologies that sustain the economic activities of the maximal strategy.

Personal credibility is the entropy inhibitor of the American archetype. As wealth sustains the perception of security, personal credibility requires having solved the necessary financial situation that makes an individual credible.

Daring, dreaming, credibility and thinking integrated to achieve growth require a strong ethical environment that needs to be sustained by the judiciary system. Lying is unacceptable because it destroys the credibility and transparency of the archetype.

Understanding and respecting the archetype of the USA will be extremely useful to develop global and local businesses.

Access the unicist standard contained in the Unicist Business Search Engine:
http://www.unicist.com/

Request more information: n.i.brown@unicist.org

Peter Belohlavek

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute is the major research organization in the world in its specialty based on more than 3,000 researches in complexity science applied to individual, institutional and social evolution.

Unicist Strategy

If you would like to receive monthly information on this blog, please register here.

Follow us on twitter


Manage the Unicist Standard for Business Scenarios

Use the Unicist Standard for future research to develop the possible scenarios of your business. It will help you to focus on growth and profit.

The unicist object driven technology provides the conceptual tools to deal with the fundamentals of businesses focusing on what is possible to be achieved.

Unicist Object Driven Technologies for strategy building allow individuals to diagnose problems and develop the corresponding strategies.

The unicist model provides the logic to approach complex problems and transform them into simple solutions.

Ambiguity, uncertainty and complex problems are the situations in which the use of unicist strategy models becomes necessary.

Learn more: http://www.academic.unicist.org/utp.shtml

Request more information: n.i.brown@unicist.org

Academic Department

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute is the major research organization in the world in its specialty based on more than 3,000 researches in complexity sciences applied to individual, institutional and social evolution.