Economic Scenarios

The Structure of Unicist Economic Scenarios

 in The Unicist Research Institute  tagged Economic Scenarios / Peter Belohlavek / Unicist Anthropology / Unicist Conceptual Economics by

Unicist Economic Scenarios deal with the concepts that drive production, distribution and consumption of goods and services. They deal with the materialistic aspects of a society to ensure its survival and growth while providing a basis for the evolution of the coming generations.

The unicist conceptual economy considers that the core objective of economy is the organization of work processes in a culture or institution. Economic Scenarios can only occur within the level of the archetype of a culture and based on the values of work .

The purpose of an economic scenario is to generate wealth, its active function that puts this purpose into action is the generation of social added value, which makes wealth become useful, and the energy conservation function is the generation of wealth with growth.

This synthetic definition requires entering the definition of the three elements that integrate economics in order to define the sub-concepts/fundamentals that integrate it. It has to be considered that each of the concepts that define conceptual economy need to reach a threshold according to the expectations that are implicit in the social scenario that are finally based on the values implicit in the archetype of a culture.

The Ontogenetic Map of Economic Scenarios

Conceptual economy organizes what is possible to be achieved. Crises occur when any concept becomes dysfunctional and does not work within its credibility zone and cannot be compensated by its energy conservation function.

The final purpose of conceptual economy is the generation of wealth, which can only be achieved if the culture is driven by the value of work as a value generating action and not only as a way to survive.

But work as a value can only generate wealth if it is sustained by the necessary technology that allows dealing in a competitive context. Technology implies necessarily innovation.

Work and technology can only establish a meaningful integration when people are driven by the need to learn. This implies that the environment needs to foster the generation of value and improvement in order to evolve and thus a learning context is given.

Levels of Functionality of Economic Scenarios:

The four levels of effectiveness of economic scenarios are:

Level 1) Incentive driven

Level 2) Technology driven

Level 3) Market driven

Level 4) Transcendence driven

At an operational level, economic scenarios need to consider the conjunctural and structural aspects to provide employment and foster innovation and the development and use of technologies.

Level 1) Incentive driven

It is the segment of the economic activity that needs incentives to foster consumption and to use technologies that increase its effectiveness.

Level 2) Technology driven

It is the segment of the economic activity that is fully technology dependant to achieve the generation of growth and wealth. It requires strong investments in education to foster innovations and improvements in work processes.

Level 3) Market driven

It is the segment of the economic activity that is competitive in terms of value and price, which allows following the needs of the markets.

Level 4) Transcendence driven

It is the segment of economic activity that has achieved a level of maturity that allows managing structural investments to ensure the wellbeing of the coming generations.

Peter Belohlavek

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute has been, since 1976, the pioneer in complexity science research to deal with adaptive entities and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of adaptive systems and environments. It was one of the precursors of the Industry 4.0 concept.

Economic Power puts Archetypical Power into Action

 in The Unicist Research Institute / Unicist Objects  tagged Economic Power / Economic Scenarios / Future Research / ontogenetic intelligence of nature / Peter Belohlavek / Power of Nations / Social evolution / Unicist Approach / Unicist Ontology of Evolution by

The Power of Nations is based on the construction capacity which is given by work and sustained by the non-exerted destruction capacity that we call dissuasion power.

This implies that the economic power has to provide the maximal strategy, the possibility of upgrading to the next step while the dissuasion power developed by the administrative authorities of the country provides the necessary secure environment to grow.

It has to be considered that the economic power is basically individualistic oriented. In the materialistic world the same “thing” cannot be shared. Money is in my pocket or it is in your pocket. It cannot be in both at the same time.

That is why the nature of the materialistic world is the dualism which naturally drives towards fostering activities based on individual initiatives.

This is not necessary at a subsistence level but it is a must if a culture fosters expansion and influence in the environment.

Diana Belohlavek

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in using the unicist logical approach in complexity science research and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. It has an academic arm and a business arm.
http://www.unicist.org/repo/#Unicist

Understanding the nature and consequences of Economic Freedom

 in The Unicist Research Institute  tagged Conceptual Economy / Economic Freedom / Economic Scenarios / Economic Systems / Intelligent Systems / The Unicist Research Institute by

This work deals with the conceptual structure of economic freedom and its integration with economic democracy. It includes no ideological considerations or influence. It is based on the unicist approach to complexity science, which uses a pragmatic, structural and functionalist framework.

Economic Democracy EthicsThere are prejudices and fallacious myths installed in the world dealing with the concept of economic freedom. Unfortunately, no literature could be found that approached economic freedom based on its concept to define its nature (the “stem cell” of economic freedom). The existing approaches are strongly influenced by ideological positions.

This introduction, based on an excerpt from the book “The Future of Democracy and Capitalism” provides a conceptual approach to capitalism, going beyond the beliefs deposited on facts by people to understand the nature and dynamics that define the present and future of Capitalism.

It can be said that Greece was the origin of political democracy in the West but was not an economic democracy because in those times the expansion of cultures was driven by military actions.

It can also be said that the United States of America are a paradigmatic example of evolutionary democracy that integrates social democracy, economic democracy and political democracy to manage the domestic affairs.

As an evolutionary democracy, the United States of America could be taken as a paradigmatic example of Economic Freedom and Capitalism. But Economic Freedom and Capitalism cannot be imported or exported. The unique structure of values that are implicit in a culture’s archetype are the demonstration that it is meaningless to copy any model to a foreign culture that has different structural values.

The understanding of the nature of economic democracy and capitalism allow defining the particular way in which a country can deal with economics and economic democracy considering its own characteristics.

Peter Belohlavek

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in using the unicist logical approach in complexity science research and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. It has an academic arm and a business arm.

Conceptual Economy is a Macro-Micro Approach

 in The Unicist Research Institute / Unicist Artificial Intelligence  tagged Conceptual Economy / Economic Behavior / Economic development / Economic Scenarios / Economic Sciences / Economic Systems / Peter Belohlavek / Scenario Building / The Unicist Research Institute / Unicist Logical Approach by

This is a synthesis of the works on conceptual economy developed by Peter Belohlavek to provide a guiding idea of how to deal with real economy considered as a complex adaptive system. It is part of the conceptual model for country scenario building and forecasting.

Conceptual EconomyThe development of the conceptual approach to country scenarios, which included conceptual economy, started in the ’70s and its core aspects were finished in the ’90s.

It was triggered by the need to find a structural solution to the multiple failures in applying economic solutions to different countries. The objective was to find the concepts that allow adapting the systemic economy to the true drivers of economics considered as a complex system managing its unified field.

A) What changed?

  1. The expansion of countries is not based on military occupation anymore. The military became a dissuasion power.
  2. Democracy became the next utopia in the world, which established the basis for the era of participation.
  3. The existence of several expansive poles and the creation of the European Union.
  4. The transformation of economy into the driver for local and international expansion.
  5. The role of banks in the administration of monetary circulation.
  6. The influence of International Institutions to prevent or palliate local economic/financial crises.

B) What remained unchanged?

  1. The fact that the USA is the leading economy in the world.

C) What made conceptual economy possible?

  1. The discovery of the logic that underlies nature.
  2. The discovery that individuals’ actions are driven by the concepts they have which are cross-cultural and timeless.
  3. The unicist anthropological modeling of collective unconsciousness and the consequent country (cultural) archetypes.
  4. The discovery that the archetype of a culture and the concept of work it has, establish the context of the unified field in which economic behavior becomes possible.
  5. The discovery of ethical intelligence as the deepest driver of individual and social behavior and its consequences in economics.
  6. The discovery of thee concepts and fundamentals that drive economic behavior.
  7. The discovery that the concepts of macro and micro economic behavior are homologous.
  8. The discovery of the unified field of economics.
  9. The development of a logical solution that allowed transforming a conceptual approach to the complexity of economics into a systemic approach to deal with variables and cause-effect relationships.

  10. The discovery that extreme consumerism, extreme communism and authoritarianism foster over-adaptive behaviors and survival ethics and stagnant survival ethics.

To request more information please contact n.i.brown@unicist.org

Unicist Press Committee

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in using the unicist logical approach in complexity science research and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. It has an academic arm and a business arm. https://www.unicist.net/economics/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/turi.pdf

Unicist Conceptual Economy – A Macro-Micro Approach

 in Double Dialectical Logic / The Unicist Research Institute  tagged Economic development / Economic Scenarios / Economic Sciences / Economic Systems / Peter Belohlavek / The Unicist Research Institute / Unicist Conceptual Economy / Unicist Logical Approach by

The development of country and business scenarios required developing logical tools to infer the future to make forecasts reliable.

In this framework, the unicist conceptual approach to economy was necessary to integrate economic behavior with the political and social scenarios, on the one hand, and with the cultural archetype, on the other hand, in order to define economic future forecasts.

Unicist Conceptual EconomyAfter 20 years of application the “Unicist Conceptual Economy – A Macro-Micro Approach”, by Peter Belohlavek, will be launched to provide additional tools to avoid or deal with economic / financial crises.

Conceptual Economy as a name and idea already exists. If you are interested, you can find it at:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conceptual_economy

The Unicist Research Institute uses the conceptual approach for scenario building to define what is possible to be achieved, while the systemic economy allows defining the probabilities after a possibility is given.
http://www.unicistinstitute.net/blog/

Time has come to disseminate this knowledge because now the unicist complexity science approach is leading in its segment, and conceptual economy is a complex issue that provides true solutions.
http://unicist.info/sdc-en/competitors/

On November 29, 2013 at 12:00 pm EST Peter Belohlavek will be lecturing on this subject as the first step of the presentation of the book.

The lecture is being promoted among members of the American Economic Association, the Chiefs of Economic Staffs of the Countries whose scenarios are being built (51 countries) and the members of our community.

Unicist Press Committee

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute was the pioneer in complexity science research and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of human adaptive systems. https://www.unicist.net/economics/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/turi.pdf