Economic Scenario Building


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Unicist Country Scenario Building

At a conceptual level, there are three integrated scenarios that drive the evolution of a country: the social scenario, the economic scenario and the political scenario.

It is not easy to apprehend the concept that the economic scenarios are the drivers of the new utopias of a culture. The active function fosters utopias, the energy conservation function is based on cultural myths and the concepts of social scenarios are taboos.

Administrating the evolution of a country requires integrating the social, economic and political scenarios in their oneness. Evolution is inhibited if any of the concepts that are included does not achieve the necessary threshold of energy in order to influence the environment.

There are different levels of concepts and fundamentals that drive the evolution of countries.

It has to be considered that these fundamentals are based on the dominant lifestyles (which are consistent with the archetype), work attitudes and technologies.

Lifestyles define the boundaries of social scenarios, work attitudes define the boundaries of economic evolution and the technological scenarios define the evolution of ideologies.

Below the fundamentals of social, economic and political scenarios and the lifestyles, work attitudes and technologies there is a cultural archetype that establishes the core values of a culture.

The cultural archetype establishes the taboos that need to be respected, the utopias that need to be fostered and the myths that need to be followed in order to be an accepted member of the society.

The Structure of a Country Scenario

The archetype defines the transcendent goals of a culture. Although the archetype is evolving, it has to be considered as a driver and a limit for social behavior.

The educational system defines the possibilities for social evolution and transforms the transcendent goals included in the archetype into operational solutions and behavioral patterns.

The institutionalization of the different roles in a country provides the energy conservation context that makes the achievement of the transcendent goals possible.

Maximal Strategy

The expansion of the boundaries of a culture is driven by the economic scenario. The purpose of the economic scenario is the generation of wealth, which implies having the necessary innovative technology and a learning driven educational system within a context of value adding work.

Wealth generation becomes meaningful when there is a context of distribution. The economic social added value covers the basic materialistic needs of the members of a culture.

It includes work in terms of employment, the satisfaction of the needs of a population, while there is a consistency of the distribution that recognizes the value that is being generated and the benefits that are being distributed.

An evolutionary environment has been built when this context is given. Then the economic activity needs to generate materialistic growth that ensures wealth generation and provides an expanded starting point for the coming generations.

It has to be considered that growth generation is the catalyst of the evolution of a country. As such, paradoxically, when it is below the necessary threshold to sustain stability, it works as an inhibitor of evolution.

Minimum Strategy

The political scenario provides the minimum strategy of a culture. It has to be considered that the nature of the political scenario aims at ensuring the existence of social capital, social justice and social mobility.

Social capital is defined by the competitiveness to grow and cooperation to build synergy within the culture to sustain the national identity of a culture.

Social justice is what upgrades the ethics of a culture by generating equal opportunities, providing social repair when damages have been produced and social punishment for those who disregarded the rules of the culture.

Social mobility is the entropy inhibitor of a cultural scenario. It minimizes the waste of energy because it provides a reward for the efforts and actions of the community.

Social mobility implies the existence of social competitiveness, equal rights and an access to reference groups based on value generation. When social capital becomes stable, the goals implicit in the archetype can be defined.

Peter Belohlavek

NOTE: The Unicist Research Institute has been, since 1976, the pioneer in complexity science research to deal with adaptive entities and became a private global decentralized leading research organization in the field of adaptive systems and environments. It was one of the precursors of the Industry 4.0 concept.